The news coverage of the fiasco at the Makati Mayor’s office the other day was yet another eye-opener, specifically the thuggish manner in which VP Binay behaved. When Binay’s son finally vacated the premises, somebody pointed out that this was the first time since 1986 that a Binay was not in the office of Mayor of Makati. The office has been in Binay’s family for thirty years (!) passed down from Binay, to his wife, to his son, whenever term limits or some such trivial nuisance got in the way. I am pretty sure that if Binay becomes President of the Philippines, you will hear a giant toilet flushing sound, for there goes the future of the country.
The sad sad thing is…Binay will win. You can almost see the clear runway path to his takeoff. He will win because he has the machinery, he has the message, he has the mass support. In this manner he is no different from Thaksin of Thailand or Lula of Brazil in his populist appeal. “Where was your government?”, Binay asks. And if anything is clearer to Filipinos, especially those far from Manila, is that their government has been absent and delinquent.
Fast future to post-election 2016. The results are in: Binay with 39pct (winner), Poe with 35pct, Roxas with 15pct, and the rest split amongst the 7 other candidates for president. Typical of all the past Philippine elections under the 1987 constitution, Binay will win even though the majority of the Filipinos did not vote for him. (Estrada, Arroyo, and Aquino all won with around 40pct of the vote in a wide sea of candidates.) He will win because the forces that oppose him, the Anti-Binay, cannot get their act together. So typical of Philippine fragmented politics, the Anti-Binay, cannot decide on who will be their champion. Is it Poe or Roxas? Collectively, that split Anti-Binay bloc would have had 50pct of the vote and trounced Binay easily. In other words, the foremost enemy of the Anti-Binay is its divided self.
So I am keeping one eye on a hefty suitcase and a possible for sale sign on my property in the Philippines. if Binay wins as he is set to do, a rethink is in order on where to live before everything breaks down completely. I do hope the Anti-Binay gets its act together. I hate moving.